Source: S&P Global PMI. ©2025 S&P Global.
Joe Hayes, Principal Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said:
“Having trended upwards in recent months, our survey data for July signal a fresh setback for the UK construction sector, with total industry activity falling at the sharpest rate since May 2020. Dissecting the latest contraction, we can see a fresh and sharp drop in residential building, as well as an accelerated fall in work carried out on civil engineering projects.
“Forward-looking indicators from the survey imply that UK constructors are preparing for challenging times ahead. They’re buying less materials and reducing the number of workers on the payroll. Expectations also continue to underwhelm, despite a modest pick-up in confidence from June’s two-and-a-half-year low.
“Anecdotally, companies reported a lack of tender opportunities and a hesitancy from customers to commit to projects. Broader themes of uncertainty, both domestically but also internationally, will do little to reignite investment appetites.”
(Further Industry Comments below)
UK construction activity falls at sharpest rate in over five years
July 2025
- Downturn in construction activity intensifies as firms see renewed decline in housing projects
- Payrolled staff levels fall again but subcontractor rates continue to rise rapidly
- Year-ahead expectations remain subdued
There was a considerable slump in the UK construction sector at the start of the third quarter. According to the latest S&P Global PMI® survey data, total industry activity levels fell at the steepest pace since May 2020.
Underlying data highlighted marked decreases in volumes of work carried out across all three monitored sub-sectors, but a considerable drag came from a fresh drop in residential building.
Posting 44.3 in July, down from 48.8 in June, the headline S&P Global UK Construction Purchasing Managers’ Index™ (PMI®) – a seasonally adjusted index tracking changes in total industry activity – signalled the sharpest contraction in over five years at the start of the third quarter.
Where a reduction in activity was reported (around 29% of the survey panel), firms mentioned site delays, lower volumes of incoming new business and weaker customer confidence. Some respondents also cited lower work undertaken on public sector projects. Notably, of the three monitored types of construction work, civil engineering saw the sharpest drop during July. The headline PMI was also pulled lower by a renewed decline in residential building activity. As for commercial construction, a marked but softer fall was registered.
UK constructors remained challenged by subdued demand conditions. The volume of new incoming work declined for a seventh month running in July, with the pace of contraction at its most pronounced since February. A drop in tender opportunities was cited by panelists.
Looking ahead to the next 12 months, surveyed companies were optimistic of growth in activity on balance, but expectations were weak when compared with their long-run trend. This was despite business confidence ticking up slightly from June’s two-and-a-half-year low. Concerns surrounding the broader economic outlook weighed on company growth projections.
The volume of construction materials purchased by surveyed firms subsequently declined in July, although the fall was the softest seen since the start of 2025. When it came to the receipt of purchases, the latest PMI data revealed delays from vendors.
This marked the first time in six months that delivery times have lengthened.
That said, UK constructors reported higher charges from their suppliers at the start of the third quarter. This underpinned a sharp monthly rise in their operating expenses. However, the overall rate of inflation was the weakest since January.
The downward trend in payroll numbers continued into July, extending the current period of falling employment to seven months. Lay-offs, recruitment freezes and the non-replacement of leavers were seen in panellists’ anecdotal replies to the questionnaire.
UK constructors also pared back their usage of subcontractors, but their rates charged nevertheless rose at a sharp pace, in line with the trend seen since late last year.
COMMENTS:
Gareth Belsham, director of Bloom Building Consultancy, commented:
“There’s no sugarcoating it – this data will be tough to swallow for almost everyone in construction.
“All three subsectors of the industry saw output contract in July, with the sharpest fall coming in civil engineering. Housebuilding, the sector beloved of politicians in need of a photo opp, also declined badly.
“To make matters worse, the pipeline of new work is drying up fast. New order numbers have now fallen for seven months in a row, with July’s slump the worst seen since February.
“Little wonder contractor confidence is weak and many construction firms are laying off payrolled staff.
“June saw sentiment plunge to its lowest level since December 2022, and while July’s figure improved marginally, even the most optimistic of builders will find it hard to see the glass as half full.
“Tomorrow the Bank of England is widely expected to cut its base rate for the third time this year, and the prospect of cheaper finance will be welcomed by developers who are struggling to square their finance costs with weak demand for their end product.
“The one bright spot is commercial sector construction. While it too saw output fall in July, at least more commercial schemes are being greenlit. Those that do are laser-focused on value and have a fully costed business case – there is minimal margin for error.”
Lynsay Turnbull, technical director at Thomas & Adamson, part of Egis Group, said:
“It would appear that many of the challenges facing the construction sector have come to a head this month, with PMI figures showing the steepest decline since the height of the pandemic. Ongoing geopolitical and macroeconomic uncertainty continues to weigh heavily, causing project delays and dampening demand and tender activity. That said, we are also in the midst of the summer holiday period, a time when a natural slowdown is to be expected.
“Levels of optimism and confidence among those surveyed have also dipped, which is understandable given the data. However, the end of the summer often brings renewed momentum as teams refocus and drive towards year-end goals. Notably, commercial construction has experienced the softest decline this month, while the residential sector is still awaiting signs of recovery, despite the government’s renewed emphasis to housebuilding.
“While it may take time for these challenges to dissipate and provide momentum to the sector, collaboration and clear communication are essential in the meantime to try and reignite the potential pipeline of future work across each area of construction.”